A super El Niño in 2026-27 wouldn't have the same impacts as events in 2015-16, 1997-98 and 1982-83.

Oceans have warmed substantially in recent decades, which can change the atmospheric response to El Niño's warm Pacific seas.

This should be kept in mind as planning begins 🧵 pic.twitter.com/ByGFUMWDbN

— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) March 9, 2026